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Soapy
Posts: 13734
Joined: 27 Nov 2018, 18:42

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Post by Soapy » 13 Jan 2026, 19:53

Image

Week 10 Preview: at #22 TCU Horned Frogs
Record: 5-3, 2-3 Big XII
Head Coach: Matt Campbell
Offensive Scheme: Power Spread
Defensive Scheme: 3-3-5

Team Schedule
vs. UL Monroe (5-2): W 52-17
vs. Tarleton State (FCS): W 49-21
at Kennesaw State (5-3): W 44-32
vs. Arizona (3-4): L 38-32
vs. #23 Texas Tech (7-2): L 27-7
at Oklahoma State (4-4): W 42-20
at Colorado (4-3): W 29-5
at #14 Houston (6-2): L 31-24

Team Leaders
Passing: Ray Padrino 65 cmp%, 2515 yards, 19 TD, 10 INT, 153.8 passer rating
Rushing: Tevin Cole 760 yards, 4.9 ypc, 13 TD
Receiving: Oscar Faulk 48 receptions, 771 yards, 6 TD
Defense: Lee King 40 tackles, 2 INT, PBU

Injuries
Image G Shaquille Marks (Senior) Torn Pectoral (Season)
Image T D.J. Baas (Junior) Torn Rotator Cuff (Season)
Image T Joe Nunn (Sophomore) Torn Pectoral (Season)
Image HB Anthony Masifilo (Junior) Ruptured Disk (Out)
Image EDGE Percy Cadet (Sophomore) Dislocated Elbow (Out)
Image CB Chauncey Ankrah (Senior) Quad Tear (Doubtful)
Image WR Sua Luvu (Junior) Foot Fracture (Out)

Players to Watch
Image QB Ray Padrino (R-Soph) | 5′11", 188LBS | 80 OVR, 82 SPD, 87 ACC, 87 THP, 82 SAC, 74 MAC, 70 DAC
Padrino could very well be playing for his job as TCU has a high profile true freshman backup in Russell Burks who was a four-star and a local kid. The undersized Padrino has had some bright spots with four touchdowns against Tarleton and Colorado but also threw five picks in the loss to Texas Tech and was than stellar against Houston, unable to keep up with Alex Rowe in that fourth quarter. He is a limited athlete who doesn't have the arm to challenge Stanford's secondary deep, which is their weakness.

Image EDGE Jorge Saucedo (R-Sr) | 6′4", 246LBS | 84 OVR, 84 SPD, 85 ACC, 87 STR, 93 PMV, 83 FMV, 77 BSH
The production isn't always there but Saucedo, especially this season with just two sacks but he's a disruptive power rusher that could be lined up against a first-time starter at Stanford is down two left tackles. He is stout enough against the run to be able to collapse inside and disrupt Stanford's inside running game, the staple of the offense and can easily track down Earl Niehuis when he does escape from the pocket.

Image LB Channing Clinton (Sr) | 6′0", 221LBS | 90 OVR, 85 SPD, 94 ACC, 90 TKL, 83 BSH, 75 MCV, 87 ZCV
The only way TCU wins this game is by turning it into a rock fight and in order to do that, they need to stop Stanford's rushing offense from delivering knockout blows. Clinton is a rangy linebacker that plays bigger than his listed weight with his physicality. He's been really good in coverage this season as well and will be pivotal in taking away those in cutting routes that Stanford loves to hit.

Hard Rock Bet™
Spread: Stanford -2.5
Moneyline: TCU +125
Over: 52.5

Place your bets and I'll keep track of your winnings/loss throughout the season. The winner's (by percentage with a minimum of 16 bets placed) team of choice will get a rating's bump and choose which conference to be the commissioner of for the following season to select my schedule. The second place will have second choice on which conference and so forth for third and fourth place.

The Bookie
Caesar 11-4
Captain Canada 13-2
redsox907 9-5
YaBoyRobRoy 3-1
James
ShireNiner 11-6
djp73 12-2
toysoldier00 6-2
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djp73
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Gap Down Backer.

Post by djp73 » 13 Jan 2026, 19:55

ELI5 moneyline
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djp73
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Post by djp73 » 13 Jan 2026, 20:01

Stanford win, cover, over
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Caesar
Chise GOAT
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Joined: 27 Nov 2018, 10:47

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Post by Caesar » 13 Jan 2026, 20:03

djp73 wrote:
13 Jan 2026, 19:55
ELI5 moneyline
Who is going to win straight up. Plus odds means underdog, negative odds is a favorite. It's different from the spread because the moneyline doesn't require a specific margin of victory.

Stanford to cover, Stanford to win, Over.
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James
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Post by James » 13 Jan 2026, 20:26

Stanford to cover and the under.

ShireNiner
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Post by ShireNiner » 13 Jan 2026, 21:06

Learned my lesson. Stanford to cover, win, and the over.
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redsox907
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Joined: 01 Jun 2025, 12:40

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Post by redsox907 » 13 Jan 2026, 22:54

stanford to cover with the under
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Captain Canada
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Joined: 01 Dec 2018, 00:15

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Post by Captain Canada » 14 Jan 2026, 09:21

Stanford to cover and the over, cause apparently you real all of a sudden
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YaBoyRobRoy
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Joined: 20 Jun 2025, 16:15
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Post by YaBoyRobRoy » 14 Jan 2026, 12:45

The Hit Stick!! what an absolute beast of a name for a safety. nice beat down of USC, those are always fun. Stanford -2.5 and the over sir.

Topic author
Soapy
Posts: 13734
Joined: 27 Nov 2018, 18:42

Gap Down Backer.

Post by Soapy » 14 Jan 2026, 15:11

djp73 wrote:
13 Jan 2026, 20:01
Stanford win, cover, over
Caesar wrote:
13 Jan 2026, 20:03
djp73 wrote:
13 Jan 2026, 19:55
ELI5 moneyline
Who is going to win straight up. Plus odds means underdog, negative odds is a favorite. It's different from the spread because the moneyline doesn't require a specific margin of victory.

Stanford to cover, Stanford to win, Over.
James wrote:
13 Jan 2026, 20:26
Stanford to cover and the under.
ShireNiner wrote:
13 Jan 2026, 21:06
Learned my lesson. Stanford to cover, win, and the over.
redsox907 wrote:
13 Jan 2026, 22:54
stanford to cover with the under
Captain Canada wrote:
14 Jan 2026, 09:21
Stanford to cover and the over, cause apparently you real all of a sudden
YaBoyRobRoy wrote:
14 Jan 2026, 12:45
The Hit Stick!! what an absolute beast of a name for a safety. nice beat down of USC, those are always fun. Stanford -2.5 and the over sir.
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